Yellow-Meaning
0x986a231e4eea18b19895781869229668c50af9a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$35.86
Total PnL
$-222.17
Realised
$-43.51
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
35 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.09
$15.09
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
31 shares @ 36.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.78
$-10.22
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-20.31
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
111 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-16.35
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
79 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-23.76
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
64 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-6.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
57 shares @ 39.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-22.72
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
55 shares @ 44.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-24.23
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
37 shares @ 52.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-19.69
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
33 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$1.00Mar 30, 07:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$1.97Mar 30, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$2.61Mar 6, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$10.00Mar 6, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$20.00Mar 6, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$1.00Mar 4, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$7.03Mar 4, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$1.00Mar 4, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$5.00Mar 4, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$1.00Mar 4, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$1.00Mar 4, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$7.33Mar 4, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$5.00Mar 4, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$5.00Mar 4, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$6.15Mar 4, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$7.62Mar 4, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$5.00Mar 4, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$5.00Mar 4, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$1.00Mar 4, 08:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$8.21Mar 4, 08:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $6.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 06:57 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 07:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".