0x98795d2f9e9f925858bed060ac9731a00f44bae1
0x98795d2f9e9f925858bed060ac9731a00f44bae1
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$7.82
Total PnL
$-48.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be less than 0%?
8 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$7.58
$2.58
- YES
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.24
$-4.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C or below on March 8?
151 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 28-31, 2026?
49 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.18
- YES
Will PH win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?
29 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on March 9?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on March 8?
13 shares @ 37.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on March 9?
13 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on March 8?
13 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
13 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 9?$15.63Mar 21, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 9?$5.00Mar 7, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$3.00Mar 7, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on March 9?$5.00Mar 7, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on March 9?$3.00Mar 7, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 46°F or higher on March 9?$5.00Mar 7, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on March 9?$4.10Mar 7, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C or below on March 8?$3.00Mar 6, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on March 8?$0.50Mar 6, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 8?$1.70Mar 6, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on March 8?$5.00Mar 6, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown end between March 28-31, 2026?$5.00Mar 6, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$5.00Mar 6, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PH win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?$1.85Mar 6, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown end between March 28-31, 2026?$4.18Mar 6, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?$4.80Mar 6, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be less than 0%?$5.00Mar 6, 15:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $3.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 15:43 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 05:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.