Prize-Fluke
0x9899578543cdf6ee156f02b4e033ef28131ec46b
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$21.69
Total PnL
$-4.66
Realised
$-0.56
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?
11 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$10.87
$0.87
- NO
Will Marian Vanghelie be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
6 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$5.67
$0.01
- NO
BOA launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.85
$0.85
- NO
Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO in 2025?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.14
$0.14
- NO
Will Virgil Alexandru Zidaru be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$1.13
$0.00
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
1 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?
3 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Marian Vanghelie be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$269.46Nov 12, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sentient launch a token in 2025?$3.00Nov 10, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stable launch a token in 2025?$10.00Nov 10, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marian Vanghelie be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$275.40Nov 10, 07:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Virgil Alexandru Zidaru be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$286.09Nov 10, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Virgil Alexandru Zidaru be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$287.50Nov 10, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$3.00Nov 10, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce no change at the October meeting?$1.03Nov 10, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump try to fire another Fed Governor by October 31?$1.04Nov 10, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New York Mets win the 2025 National League Championship?$3.37Nov 10, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump try to fire another Fed Governor by October 31?$1.00Sep 23, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the October meeting?$1.00Sep 23, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin in 2025?$1.00Sep 23, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYDan Clancy out as Twitch CEO in 2025?$1.00Sep 23, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before September?$1.06Sep 23, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump issue a Gold Card before August?$2.13Sep 23, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Playboi Carti release another album before August?$2.17Sep 23, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMWyoming launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?$2.86Sep 23, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Yemen before August?$3.26Sep 23, 08:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?$1.05Sep 23, 08:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $34.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 07:37 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 12, 02:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.