Hopeful-Burnout
0x98a84852204d183557ecba8f6ee03419392059b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$22.86
Total PnL
$-144.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by June 30?
71 shares @ 21.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$22.86
$7.86
- YES
Maduro out in 2025?
282 shares @ 17.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 0–5%?
199 shares @ 24.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-48.00
- YES
Will turnout be between 4.6 million and 5.0 million in the 2025 Bolivia Presidential Election second round?
194 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-6.60
- YES
Will turnout be between 5.0 million and 5.4 million in the 2025 Bolivia Presidential Election second round?
125 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Sergio Oliver Rodríguez win the 2026 Cochabamba gubernatorial election?
66 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?
44 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Venezuela win on 2025-09-09?
27 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 9, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game?
24 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEvo Morales leaves Bolivia by June 30?$15.47May 23, 04:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?$13.00May 23, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manuel Saavedra win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?$107.64May 23, 04:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Richard Andrés Gómez win the 2026 La Paz gubernatorial election?$0.04Mar 23, 23:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alejandro Mostajo Rueda win the 2026 Cochabamba gubernatorial election?$0.05Mar 23, 03:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill José Carlos Sánchez Verazaín win the 2026 Cochabamba mayoral election?$0.24Mar 23, 03:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xavier Iturralde win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?$0.36Mar 23, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?$10.00Mar 23, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Richard Andrés Gómez win the 2026 La Paz gubernatorial election?$3.00Mar 22, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sergio Oliver Rodríguez win the 2026 Cochabamba gubernatorial election?$25.00Mar 22, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alejandro Mostajo Rueda win the 2026 Cochabamba gubernatorial election?$3.00Mar 18, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Carlos Sánchez Verazaín win the 2026 Cochabamba mayoral election?$1.00Mar 18, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manuel Saavedra win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?$100.00Mar 18, 01:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$13.97Mar 18, 01:18 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out by December 31, 2026?$361.13Mar 18, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Iturralde win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?$12.00Mar 18, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$10.00Mar 8, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game?$5.00Feb 9, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by December 31, 2026?$300.00Jan 3, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?$5.00Nov 16, 00:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $34.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 19, 18:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 04:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".