Frayed-Hostel
0x98ac23b264a9eb7fb0b50258086f11868a6240d9
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$329.73
Total PnL
$-291.92
Realised
$18.74
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?
1491 shares @ 33.3¢·now 21.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$320.64
$-176.48
- YES
Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
59 shares @ 3.4¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.66
$0.62
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
52 shares @ 3.4¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.61
$0.81
- YES
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
2 shares @ 3.4¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.52
$1.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on May 17?
1 shares @ 9.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$1.10
$1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C or below on May 17?
414 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.21
$-37.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 17?
393 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.20
$-35.51
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 17?
379 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.19
$-34.23
- YES
Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
20 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.15
$-0.54
- YES
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
20 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.14
$-0.55
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Por Andalucia (PA) win the Andalusia regional election?$0.12May 17, 08:57 UTC
- CONVERSION3rd largest company end of June?$6.77May 17, 04:51 UTC
- CONVERSION3rd largest company end of June?$52.24May 17, 04:51 UTC
- CONVERSION3rd largest company end of June?$4.99May 17, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$54.93May 17, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$11.58May 17, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.80May 17, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$10.20May 17, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$4.95May 17, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Broadcom be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$62.82May 17, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$64.77May 17, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$62.82May 17, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$62.82May 17, 04:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on May 17?$0.03May 17, 03:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on May 17?$0.02May 17, 03:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 17?$0.02May 17, 03:54 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$6.12May 17, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on May 17?$0.71May 17, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$1.27May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on May 17?$0.48May 16, 23:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $8.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 21:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 08:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".