Pessimistic-Transmission
0x98c04d5997f94032f17751c1046ddc0678696f9c
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
70
Open notional
$11.50
Total PnL
$-456.28
Realised
$-0.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 70- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 May 25-31?
463 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$3.47
$-1.53
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 25-31?
217 shares @ 2.3¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$2.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 May 25-31?
170 shares @ 2.9¢·now 1.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.70
$-3.30
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 25-31?
81 shares @ 6.2¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.49
$-3.51
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 May 25-31?
127 shares @ 3.9¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.40
$-3.60
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 May 25-31?
87 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.61
$-1.39
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.17
$-4.83
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on May 28?
292 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.15
$-0.85
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 May 25-31?$2.14May 28, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 May 25-31?$5.34May 28, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,700 May 25-31?$5.34May 28, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on May 28?$1.07May 28, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $64,000 May 25-31?$5.35May 28, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 25-31?$5.34May 28, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 25-31?$5.33May 28, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 7-13?$2.00Apr 13, 11:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?$4.11Apr 13, 11:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?$1.31Apr 13, 11:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?$1.93Apr 10, 19:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$9.75Apr 8, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?$10.00Apr 8, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?$2.00Apr 8, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?$2.00Apr 8, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?$2.00Apr 8, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?$6.04Apr 8, 18:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump praise Allah again by April 15?$3.64Apr 8, 18:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$13.95Apr 8, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?$3.00Apr 8, 08:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $4.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 11, 15:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 06:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".