Likely-Scorn
0x98c30c7c0c6433dc652136ce3739049423d8a6a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
85
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-766.98
Realised
$-0.38
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 85- NO
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?
9593 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-27.51
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 18?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 18?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 18?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on December 18?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $120 on December 18?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed real?
288 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.15
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 18?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
228 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-24.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 30?$80.00Jan 29, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 2PM ET$80.00Jan 20, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 5PM ET$1.00Jan 20, 21:45 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 2PM ET$80.00Jan 20, 17:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 3PM ET$80.00Jan 20, 17:30 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 3PM ET$80.00Jan 17, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 8AM ET$80.00Jan 14, 15:20 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 8AM ET$80.00Jan 12, 12:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 12PM ET$80.00Jan 10, 11:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 8AM ET$0.00Jan 9, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 9AM ET$0.00Jan 9, 17:02 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 12PM ET$80.00Jan 9, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 8AM ET$40.00Jan 9, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 9AM ET$40.00Jan 9, 16:25 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 9AM ET$40.00Jan 9, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 7AM ET$40.00Jan 9, 14:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 8AM ET$1.20Jan 9, 13:53 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 8AM ET$40.00Jan 9, 13:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 6AM ET$40.00Jan 9, 13:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 7AM ET$2.74Jan 9, 12:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $17.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 7, 09:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 29, 13:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".