Gifted-Stool
0x98cc93edf74a688a066708fd44b198027d015fd4
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
66
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.2K
Realised
$11.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 66- NO
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?
6300 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2025$0.00
$-55.19
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
5408 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-800.50
- YES
Will PVV win 27–29 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
4000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Erick Lindgren win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
4000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Frank Crivello win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
3057 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.17
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in August?
2000 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-180.00
- NO
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?
2000 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-47.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 10?
1873 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-3.75
- YES
OpenAI browser by August 31?
1000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?
700 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-30.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Frank Crivello win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$0.22Nov 2, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Frank Crivello win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$0.00Nov 1, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Frank Crivello win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$0.00Nov 1, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Frank Crivello win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.50Nov 1, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Frank Crivello win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$0.05Nov 1, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Frank Crivello win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$0.15Nov 1, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erick Lindgren win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$8.00Oct 31, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Frank Crivello win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$7.24Oct 31, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PVV win 27–29 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$40.00Oct 31, 00:40 UTC
- TRADESELLJohn Brennan federally charged by October 31?$99.09Oct 30, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$560.00Oct 28, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$15.87Oct 27, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$17.13Oct 27, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$6.63Oct 27, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$34.64Oct 27, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$0.16Oct 27, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$30.22Oct 27, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$135.85Oct 24, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 24?$23.90Oct 24, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 24?$0.90Oct 24, 01:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $36.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 5, 12:00 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 2, 10:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.