Excitable-Safeguard
0x98cd4eb9119e0c07b9b5a55589c8307c0850ea78
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$4.22
Total PnL
$-31.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9AM ET
4 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$4.22
$1.73
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12PM ET
23 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6AM ET
13 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 9AM ET
12 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 10AM ET
12 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 11AM ET
7 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 8AM ET
7 shares @ 30.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 10AM ET
4 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9AM ET$2.49Feb 15, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6AM ET$3.00Feb 15, 11:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?$5.12Feb 15, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12PM ET$13.00Feb 4, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 10AM ET$8.00Feb 4, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 11AM ET$4.00Jan 31, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 10AM ET$2.00Jan 31, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 9AM ET$0.96Jan 31, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$20.98Jan 31, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 8AM ET$1.00Dec 19, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 12PM ET$0.00Dec 19, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 8AM ET$1.00Dec 19, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 10AM ET$3.00Dec 18, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 10AM ET$2.00Dec 18, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 7AM ET$2.66Dec 18, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 7AM ET$1.00Dec 18, 12:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 5AM ET$0.00Dec 18, 12:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 5AM ET$0.00Dec 18, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 5AM ET$2.00Dec 18, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 10AM ET$0.00Dec 18, 10:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $2.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 16, 15:23 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 15, 14:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".