Youthful-Signal
0x98cebc0cfc73562f2a06c39d22335da8aad40e24
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
48
Open notional
$3.08
Total PnL
$-530.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
3 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.08
$1.08
- NO
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?
50012 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-218.90
- YES
Will Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025?
8000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the first leader out in 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the first leader out in 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?
613 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
588 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$2.00Mar 16, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?$2.00Jan 8, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?$1.00Dec 12, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$0.19Nov 28, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.00Nov 25, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$10.00Nov 25, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$10.00Nov 25, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouse passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?$10.00Nov 16, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.00Nov 4, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.00Nov 4, 21:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$40.22Nov 2, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$50.00Oct 30, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon.com (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?$10.00Oct 30, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?$11.00Oct 30, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.00Oct 30, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.00Oct 30, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$12.44Oct 30, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$15.56Oct 30, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$9.00Oct 30, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$2.67Oct 30, 13:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $26.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 27, 00:08 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 15:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".