Colossal-Earthquake
0x98d0601e297f8d40998c27d5c341a676ebc8ba33
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-97.58
Realised
$3.03
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by March 31, 2026?
259 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?
250 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by March 31?
131 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by March 31?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Rodynske by February 28?
33 shares @ 15.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
28 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.99
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 12PM ET
21 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Havrylivka by March 31, 2026?$8.00Mar 5, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kindrativka by March 31?$5.00Mar 4, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?$10.00Mar 4, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$0.56Mar 3, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$10.00Mar 3, 20:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$0.00Mar 3, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$5.00Mar 3, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?$16.93Mar 3, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31?$10.00Mar 3, 20:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?$17.68Mar 3, 19:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31?$8.30Mar 3, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Drobysheve by March 31?$10.00Mar 3, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?$10.00Mar 3, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31?$10.00Mar 3, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?$34.67Mar 3, 12:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$0.20Feb 19, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$1.00Feb 19, 15:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$0.80Feb 19, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$10.00Feb 19, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$10.00Feb 19, 15:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $8.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 13:50 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 5, 12:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.