Relieved-Muscatel
0x98d4fc81be4f0e41b69c9b4338cfe9eb60a5613e
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$6.87
Total PnL
$-9.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$4.17
$3.17
- NO
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?
3 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$2.70
$1.00
- YES
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
46 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
45 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Saudi Arabia strike Yemen by January 31?
21 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Transgender women be banned from the Olympics before Winter Games?
13 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$2.00Jan 4, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?$1.00Jan 4, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WD-40 Company (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Jan 4, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYVenezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?$1.50Jan 4, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro mugshot released by Monday?$1.70Jan 4, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYTransgender women be banned from the Olympics before Winter Games?$2.30Jan 4, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$1.00Jan 4, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?$1.00Jan 4, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$1.00Jan 4, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia strike Yemen by January 31?$2.30Jan 4, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$1.90Jan 4, 11:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $1.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 4, 11:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 4, 12:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.