Treasured-Moth
0x98d693a3d66e87978b05d9a77c5c52c66278691b
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$26.32
Total PnL
$-4.29
Realised
$-0.55
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- MAMDANI
Larger Margin of Victory: Mamdani vs Spanberger?
6 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$5.97
$0.01
- NO
Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$4.49
$0.00
- NO
Bird flu vaccine in 2025?
4 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.53
$0.53
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: MrBeast Edition
3 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.45
$1.45
- VIRGINIA
Larger Margin of Victory: Virginia or New Jersey Governor?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$3.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$2.61
$0.00
- NO
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.22
$0.22
- NO
Shehbaz Sharif out in 2025?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Drake be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Ed Sheeran be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$259.48Nov 12, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYLarger Margin of Victory: Virginia or New Jersey Governor?$3.00Nov 11, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYLarger Margin of Victory: Mamdani vs Spanberger?$5.96Nov 11, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$264.23Nov 11, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$285.79Nov 11, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$288.68Nov 11, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Sheeran be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$1.00Nov 11, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$3.00Nov 11, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Yemen before August?$1.09Nov 11, 10:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris say "Election" 3+ times on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?$1.16Nov 11, 10:24 UTC
- REDEEMAbdul-Malik al-Houthi out as leader of the Houthi government before August?$2.08Nov 11, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: MrBeast Edition$2.00Sep 22, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris say "Election" 3+ times on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?$1.00Sep 22, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Yemen before August?$1.00Jul 5, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYAbdul-Malik al-Houthi out as leader of the Houthi government before August?$2.00Jul 5, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$2.00Jul 5, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYShehbaz Sharif out in 2025?$1.00Jul 5, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBird flu pandemic before August 2025?$2.09Jul 5, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMTom Cruise and Ana de Armas confirmed relationship by April?$1.04Jul 5, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netanyahu meet with MBS before April?$1.05Jul 5, 07:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $33.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 1, 04:04 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 12, 05:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".