Quizzical-Determination
0x98e5d19b4fc9d74c251fcb14814decbd988ccdf3
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.25
Total PnL
$-54.33
Realised
$0.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 21?
54 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.3¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.67
$-0.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or higher on May 21?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.58
$-0.42
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
36 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-27.78
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?
28 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
25 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-19.65
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$5.25May 20, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$5.02May 20, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or higher on May 21?$1.05May 20, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 21?$1.05May 20, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$19.77Mar 10, 15:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$19.77Mar 10, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$19.58Mar 10, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$19.59Mar 10, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$15.96Mar 10, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$15.96Mar 10, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$12.53Mar 10, 14:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$12.52Mar 10, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$12.40Mar 10, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$12.40Mar 10, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$12.29Mar 10, 14:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$0.00Mar 10, 14:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$0.00Mar 10, 14:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$12.29Mar 10, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$12.17Mar 10, 14:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$12.17Mar 10, 13:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $9.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 12:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 06:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".