Reliable-Client
0x98f623ea638901fef7062e8061266b417ed4f484
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.98
Total PnL
$-38.58
Realised
$-7.26
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9 shares @ 11.5¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- NO
Pakistan strikes Afghanistan by March 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Pakistan strikes Afghanistan by February 28, 2026?
954 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Pakistan strikes Afghanistan by February 27, 2026?
650 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fabric FDV above $500M one day after launch?
121 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
45 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
42 shares @ 17.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-7.25
- YES
Will Wigan Athletic FC win on 2026-02-15?
34 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the US strike Somalia next?
29 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Arsenal FC vs. Wigan Athletic FC end in a draw?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 4, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$0.53Jun 4, 06:42 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$0.51May 22, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.05May 8, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.02May 7, 00:42 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)$1.49May 7, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)$1.01May 4, 04:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?$0.92May 4, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5$1.01May 4, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?$1.02May 4, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$1.00Mar 19, 09:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$0.79Mar 19, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$1.00Mar 18, 01:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$1.86Mar 17, 01:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$0.92Mar 17, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$1.00Mar 16, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$1.00Mar 16, 00:42 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by March 31?$0.68Mar 13, 00:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?$0.34Mar 11, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Mar 11, 04:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 10:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 06:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".