Curly-Hearthside
0x990440144fe6c312d1084851a697acbaf3bcc488
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
109
Open notional
$8.38
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 109- NO
Will White House post 200+ posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
3 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$2.56
$0.02
- NO
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.50
$0.00
- NO
Will Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.22
$-0.00
- NO
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.09
$-0.00
- NO
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.01
$-0.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 295–309 times August 29–September 5?
15000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 64-65°F on October 6?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Zellnor Myrie win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Andrew Yang win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
3497 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$1.00May 23, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.22May 22, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.01May 21, 19:08 UTC
- REDEEMKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?$1.02May 2, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$10.08May 1, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?$1.05May 1, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?$1.10May 1, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.09Apr 30, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?$1.10Apr 30, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the DHS shutdown end between April 25-28, 2026?$1.26Apr 29, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?$1.00Apr 29, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.50Apr 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 200+ posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$2.55Apr 27, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown end between April 25-28, 2026?$1.23Apr 25, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?$1.00Apr 24, 16:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 19?$1.54Apr 23, 16:20 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?$13.05Apr 23, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$10.04Apr 23, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?$13.00Apr 19, 14:24 UTC
- REDEEMKraken vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5$2.50Apr 19, 14:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $3.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 21:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 12:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".