Full-Nightlight
0x9905c698d0bced4986e1a6073e563d6e56418745
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$9.14
Total PnL
$-19.66
Realised
$-0.64
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on June 19?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$1.21
$0.21
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 19?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 94.2¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$1.16
$0.16
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 19?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 20?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 20?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 43°C on June 21?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 42°C on June 21?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on June 21?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.93
$-0.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 20?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.72
$-0.28
- YES
Will Moldova win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
21 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 19?$0.90Jun 19, 12:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 19?$0.83Jun 19, 12:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 19?$0.85Jun 19, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 20?$1.01Jun 19, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 19?$1.13Jun 19, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 19?$1.03Jun 19, 10:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 20?$1.01Jun 19, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 43°C on June 21?$1.00Jun 19, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on June 21?$1.00Jun 19, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 42°C on June 21?$1.00Jun 19, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 19?$1.02Jun 19, 03:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 20?$0.94Jun 19, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 18?$1.61Jun 18, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 18?$1.23Jun 18, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 20?$1.01Jun 18, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 18?$0.89Jun 18, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 18?$0.86Jun 18, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 18?$1.04Jun 18, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 20?$1.02Jun 18, 13:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 18?$0.74Jun 18, 12:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $0.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 15:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 12:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.