Insignificant-Formal
0x990fae4e36841973461908471c08f3e3be88c8a6
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
45
Open notional
$682.76
Total PnL
$-835.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
1081 shares @ 52.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$556.60
$-5.40
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
286 shares @ 21.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?
654 shares @ 7.6¢·now 3.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$22.56
$-27.44
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
74 shares @ 33.7¢·now 28.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$21.40
$-3.60
- YES
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
491 shares @ 14.9¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$19.87
$-53.13
- YES
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
491 shares @ 11.6¢·now 2.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.04
$-44.96
- NO
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
48 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.29
$-14.71
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on March 22, 2026 (ET)?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on March 24, 2026 (ET)?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on March 26, 2026 (ET)?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$0.00Apr 2, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?$0.00Apr 2, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$0.00Apr 2, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$0.00Apr 2, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Zaliznychne by February 28?$0.00Apr 2, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$0.00Mar 16, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$85.60Mar 16, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$25.00Mar 1, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?$57.00Mar 1, 21:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$119.51Mar 1, 21:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?$48.09Mar 1, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$45.00Mar 1, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?$30.00Mar 1, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$25.00Mar 1, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$15.00Mar 1, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$35.00Mar 1, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$60.00Mar 1, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$48.00Mar 1, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 6?$30.81Mar 1, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA dip to $192 in March?$68.26Feb 28, 17:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $22.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 12:21 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 2, 13:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".