Old-Fashioned-Bonding
0x9916721cc6e17da797dad27a1f3031df20e4588a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-307.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $104,000 January 19-25?
9934 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- YES
Will the price of Solana be less than $100 on January 20?
9328 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?
4146 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
1936 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $106,000 January 19-25?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - January 23, 2AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$42.38Mar 9, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 14?$7.50Mar 9, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$34.80Mar 9, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 14?$3.00Feb 11, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 14?$1.00Feb 11, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 11?$10.00Feb 11, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 11?$10.00Feb 11, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 9 above $170?$1.00Feb 11, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 9 above $165?$1.00Feb 11, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 9 above $150?$1.00Feb 11, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 9 above $145?$1.00Feb 11, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 February 9-15?$1.00Feb 11, 09:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$28.10Feb 11, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$0.00Jan 29, 04:21 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$0.00Jan 29, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$10.00Jan 24, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on January 24?$10.00Jan 24, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 24?$10.00Jan 24, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 24?$10.00Jan 24, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 8AM ET$40.00Jan 24, 07:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $8.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 08:59 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 9, 08:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".