Rotten-Disengagement
0x99175255af32bd0659ce353a571063f3503b971b
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$67.45
Total PnL
$-27.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?
42 shares @ 24.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2025$41.67
$31.67
- YES
Biden drops out of presidential race?
13 shares @ 74.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$13.44
$3.44
- NO
Will RFK ban pharma ads before May?
12 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$12.35
$2.35
- YES
Will Canada win Gold in Men's Basketball?
259 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2024$0.00
$-15.55
- YES
Will "Porcelain War" win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?
36 shares @ 41.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Fake News" during the debate?
23 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2024$0.00
$-15.18
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the debate?
16 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?
4 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will "Conclave" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
4 shares @ 25.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill RFK ban pharma ads before May?$10.00Mar 24, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Porcelain War" win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?$10.00Mar 3, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?$3.00Mar 3, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Porcelain War" win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?$5.00Mar 3, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Conclave" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$1.00Mar 3, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?$5.00Feb 14, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?$10.00Oct 11, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win Gold in Men's Basketball?$15.55Jul 31, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBiden drops out of presidential race?$5.00Jul 18, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBiden drops out of presidential race?$5.00Jul 18, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the debate?$10.00Jun 27, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fake News" during the debate?$15.18Jun 27, 17:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $7.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 17:51 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 14:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.