Realistic-Contractor
0x9936f8248c1925bcad71f895ac32c0176b32c3ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$153.63
Realised
$110.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
595 shares @ 93.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$582.62
$29.67
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
281 shares @ 96.6¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$274.77
$3.79
- NO
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
200 shares @ 80.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$169.00
$9.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
150 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$149.63
$2.63
- NO
Will Alien arrests in New York hit 5000+ by June 30?
147 shares @ 93.8¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$137.87
$0.30
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
105 shares @ 97.1¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$104.42
$2.49
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by June 22?
120 shares @ 85.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$100.80
$-1.20
- YES
Will Alien arrests in New York hit 4900+ by June 30?
50 shares @ 14.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.75
$-3.25
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$164.37Jun 6, 13:38 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$195.00Jun 6, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$271.44Jun 6, 07:14 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?$7.70Jun 6, 06:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 22?$8.50Jun 6, 04:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 22?$8.50Jun 6, 04:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 22?$8.50Jun 6, 04:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 22?$8.50Jun 6, 04:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 22?$8.50Jun 6, 01:25 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 22?$8.50Jun 6, 01:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$99.50Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 22?$8.50Jun 5, 23:23 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 22?$8.50Jun 5, 23:23 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 8?$188.00Jun 5, 21:57 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by July 15?$6.23Jun 5, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 15?$8.35Jun 5, 20:49 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 15?$6.32Jun 5, 20:49 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 15?$1.76Jun 5, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 15?$0.57Jun 5, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 15?$2.00Jun 5, 20:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $60.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 17:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 13:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.