Admirable-Squid
0x993c95f836ea033d97a08985060869270e208f7a
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$161.54
Total PnL
$-13.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Trump say "Transgender" during cabinet meeting?
90 shares @ 29.9¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$46.38
$19.41
- YES
Will Trump say "President Xi" this week?
42 shares @ 84.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$35.88
$0.64
- YES
Will Leavitt say "Border" during the next White House Press Briefing?
44 shares @ 58.2¢·now 59.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$26.43
$0.56
- YES
Will Trump say "Trump Account" this week?
16 shares @ 69.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$13.64
$2.88
- NO
Will Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?
36 shares @ 40.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$11.93
$-2.53
- YES
Will Trump say "Los Angeles" in August?
17 shares @ 28.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$9.92
$5.09
- YES
Will Trump say "National Mall" in August?
14 shares @ 86.7¢·now 66.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$9.04
$-2.84
- YES
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?
34 shares @ 66.9¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.93
$-15.67
- YES
Will Trump say "First Term" during announcement on Freedom Haulers?
37 shares @ 39.9¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.72
$-13.94
- YES
Will Trump say "Six Seven" in July?
3 shares @ 70.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.38
$-1.59
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during announcement on Freedom Haulers?$2.64Jul 30, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "First Term" during announcement on Freedom Haulers?$5.19Jul 30, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "First Term" during announcement on Freedom Haulers?$3.08Jul 30, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "First Term" during announcement on Freedom Haulers?$6.81Jul 30, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" during announcement on Freedom Haulers?$3.60Jul 30, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Los Angeles" in August?$4.99Jul 30, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during Tele-Rallies?$3.76Jul 30, 05:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Ballroom" during Announcement with the Secretary of Transportation?$11.17Jul 29, 23:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Warsh say "Recession" during July Press Conference?$0.00Jul 29, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Warsh say "Task Force" 20+ times during July Press Conference?$22.51Jul 29, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Warsh say "Pandemic" during July Press Conference?$17.96Jul 29, 20:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?$14.51Jul 29, 20:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?$10.93Jul 29, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during Tele-Rallies?$3.74Jul 29, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?$7.87Jul 29, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Recession" during July Press Conference?$20.77Jul 29, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ballroom" during Announcement with the Secretary of Transportation?$6.62Jul 29, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Pandemic" during July Press Conference?$4.65Jul 29, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "National Mall" in August?$12.00Jul 29, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leavitt say "Border" during the next White House Press Briefing?$24.88Jul 29, 04:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $11.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 21:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 16:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.