Misty-Yarmulke
0x993eb150086732ea2486f7b570f699d8f19513d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$457.55
Total PnL
$-11.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
54 shares @ 97.6¢·now 94.8¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$51.19
$-1.51
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
40 shares @ 97.2¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$39.94
$1.06
- NO
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
41 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$38.34
$-0.20
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
35 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$35.08
$0.16
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
36 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.02
$0.54
- NO
Will Trump and Putin meet next in South Korea?
30 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.98
$0.77
- NO
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
25 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.91
$0.11
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
24 shares @ 94.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.00
$1.27
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
25 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.55
$-0.12
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
22 shares @ 95.9¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.52
$0.34
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)$10.00Jun 8, 03:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$7.62Jun 7, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$8.65Jun 7, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)$5.05Jun 7, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)$9.30Jun 7, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$21.17Jun 7, 22:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$4.75Jun 2, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$8.69Jun 2, 15:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $13.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.