White-Donkey
0x993fe20a9ecfb7e3c072f7f8c3dcbf87243b35cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
27/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.4K
Realised
$-258.25
Win rate
30%
61 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 3?
548 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-49.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C or below on May 3?
548 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-49.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 3?
528 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-47.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 3?
493 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-44.79
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 3?
478 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-43.42
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or higher on May 3?
421 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-38.28
- TDK
Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs TDK (+1.5)
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UNDER
Games Total: O/U 2.5
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- EVEN
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C or below on May 3?
254 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-23.12
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
30% win rate over 61 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
61 closed markets, 30% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 19:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 61 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.