Elderly-Stability-Scarecrow
0x994fb42a9d2a741605cb4b9851eb89ff0f9c77d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$36.90
Total PnL
$-28.72
Realised
$1.80
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 23?
8 shares @ 25.3¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$6.88
$4.87
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 24?
35 shares @ 17.2¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$6.26
$0.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 24?
107 shares @ 3.7¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$4.35
$0.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 24?
41 shares @ 9.7¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$3.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 23?
38 shares @ 16.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$2.44
$-3.56
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 23?
6 shares @ 36.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$2.30
$0.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 24?
5 shares @ 44.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$1.84
$-0.16
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 25?
3 shares @ 60.0¢·now 57.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$1.61
$-0.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 23?
6 shares @ 36.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$1.47
$-0.53
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 24?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$1.13
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 24?$5.33Jul 23, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 25?$1.05Jul 23, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 22?$8.16Jul 23, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 22?$0.00Jul 23, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on July 22?$0.00Jul 23, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 22?$0.00Jul 23, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on July 22?$0.00Jul 23, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on July 22?$0.00Jul 23, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on July 22?$0.00Jul 23, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 22?$0.00Jul 23, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on July 22?$0.00Jul 23, 07:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 24?$0.20Jul 23, 06:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 25?$0.16Jul 23, 06:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on July 23?$0.00Jul 23, 06:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 25?$0.05Jul 23, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 25?$2.06Jul 23, 06:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on July 23?$0.00Jul 23, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 24?$2.11Jul 23, 05:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 23?$4.17Jul 23, 05:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on July 23?$0.00Jul 23, 05:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 16:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 07:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.