Aromatic-Plumber
0x99522923ea032ea03080c65f9ad9183d1a292edb
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.00
Total PnL
$-190.28
Realised
$279.29
Win rate
100%
74 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 5, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 13, 2026 (ET)?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?
4500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
Will Roma win the 2025–26 Serie A league?
2752 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.75
- YES
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be greater than 520m by January 31?
2500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 5, 2026 (ET)?
2500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- NO
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?
2500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?$2.00Jul 28, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?$2.00Jul 28, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$0.40Jul 28, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$0.09Jul 28, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$0.06Jul 28, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$0.08Jul 28, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$0.16Jul 28, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$0.07Jul 28, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$0.01Jul 28, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$0.20Jul 28, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$0.20Jul 28, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$0.20Jul 28, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$0.02Jul 28, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$0.01Jul 28, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$0.01Jul 28, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$0.01Jul 28, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$0.01Jul 28, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$0.03Jul 28, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$0.02Jul 28, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$0.03Jul 28, 13:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
69/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 74 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
74 closed markets, 100% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 10:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 18:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 74 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.