Warm-Savory
0x995759907dad58491ea58c59ce49538ceb2e5d52
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
141
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.5K
Realised
$47.01
Win rate
67%
30 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 141- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
3246 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
1485 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-220.19
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on December 30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - December 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
200 shares @ 72.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-145.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 26, 4PM ET
186 shares @ 44.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-82.86
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 4PM ET
162 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-74.52
- UP
Solana Up or Down - December 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
150 shares @ 80.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-121.25
- UP
Solana Up or Down - December 28, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
150 shares @ 72.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-109.34
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
141 shares @ 25.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-36.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$220.19Jan 1, 19:52 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$2.04Jan 1, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$5.00Jan 1, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$5.00Jan 1, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 1, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$5.00Jan 1, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$5.00Jan 1, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$5.00Jan 1, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 1, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$5.00Jan 1, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$5.00Jan 1, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$5.00Jan 1, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - January 1, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$5.00Jan 1, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$5.00Jan 1, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$5.00Jan 1, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 1, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$5.00Jan 1, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$5.00Jan 1, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$5.00Jan 1, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - January 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$5.55Jan 1, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$5.55Jan 1, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 1, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$6.25Jan 1, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$6.66Jan 1, 18:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
80/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 30 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
30 closed markets, 67% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $77.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 1, 18:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 1, 19:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 30 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.