0x9961784d5eaafac830bc031cc9a047123e8a9eba
0x9961784d5eaafac830bc031cc9a047123e8a9eba
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-200.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?
1487 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
709 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-69.10
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?
379 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Cloudflare outage caused by state actor?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?
332 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?
292 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Trump praise Zohran Mamdani on Friday?
202 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
200 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Lot 13 Ernst Ludwig Kirchner’s “Fränzi mit Pfeilbogen” sell for 3m or more?
176 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Lot 7 Henri Matisse’s “Figure décorative” sell for 15m or more?
174 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$0.61Mar 20, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$4.00Nov 25, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?$10.00Nov 24, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$10.40Nov 24, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$19.70Nov 24, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Recep Tayyip" or "Erdoğan" at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?$5.00Nov 24, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?$9.30Nov 24, 03:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?$1.26Nov 22, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Zohran Mamdani on Friday?$1.00Nov 21, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "9/11" during Mamdani events on November 21?$5.00Nov 21, 18:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bush say "Patriot" at Cheney's memorial on November 20?$0.00Nov 21, 18:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bush say "Peace" 3+ times at Cheney's memorial on November 20?$0.00Nov 21, 18:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mohammed bin Salman wear a suit and tie by Thursday?$0.00Nov 21, 18:39 UTC
- REDEEMNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on November 19?$0.00Nov 21, 18:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?$0.00Nov 21, 18:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mohammed bin Salman wear a suit and tie by Thursday?$0.00Nov 21, 18:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bush say "Peace" 3+ times at Cheney's memorial on November 20?$0.00Nov 21, 18:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bush say "Peace" 3+ times at Cheney's memorial on November 20?$0.00Nov 21, 18:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bush say "Patriot" at Cheney's memorial on November 20?$0.00Nov 21, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bush say "Peace" 3+ times at Cheney's memorial on November 20?$2.00Nov 20, 21:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $7.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 19, 19:13 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 20, 21:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".