Fearless-Glockenspiel
0x9963a9d0d08ad67db510615880aecc06beb90bde
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$49.13
Total PnL
$-16.14
Realised
$-19.31
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
14 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$14.29
$3.29
- NO
Arsenal wins the Premier League?
12 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$12.44
$0.44
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
6 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.41
$0.20
- NO
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
5 shares @ 94.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.27
$0.27
- NO
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
4 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$3.65
$1.02
- YES
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
3 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$2.83
$0.79
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
2 shares @ 31.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$1.71
$1.18
- NO
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$1.47
$0.41
- NO
Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?
1 shares @ 92.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.07
$0.08
- YES
Will Anamaria Gavrilă win the Romanian presidential election?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$1.00Apr 18, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$5.00Apr 18, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.40Apr 18, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$6.21Apr 18, 06:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$11.40Apr 18, 06:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$14.34Apr 18, 06:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$13.68Apr 18, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Florida win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?$0.00Apr 18, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMCapitals vs. Islanders$0.00Apr 18, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMNottingham Forest wins the Premier League?$11.04Apr 18, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYCapitals vs. Islanders$3.00Apr 6, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYCapitals vs. Islanders$5.73Apr 6, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYCapitals vs. Islanders$13.92Apr 6, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYCapitals vs. Islanders$49.30Apr 6, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYCapitals vs. Islanders$4.13Apr 6, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?$8.21Apr 6, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$15.00Apr 6, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$13.43Apr 6, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYLiverpool wins the Premier League?$1.00Apr 6, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 again by March 31?$0.00Apr 6, 15:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $166.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 12:43 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 18, 06:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.