Wallet digest

active

Activity score

86/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$113.79

Total PnL

$1.28

Realised

$0.08

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

1WIN
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Butterfly - Map 1 Winner
205 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026
$103.33
$1.02
UNDER
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
14 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026
$6.99
$0.07
UNDER
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
7 shares @ 49.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026
$3.48
$0.10

Recent activity

TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: 1WIN vs Butterfly - Map 1 Winner$5.33Jul 30, 15:08 UTC
TRADEBUYMap 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5$6.92Jul 30, 14:31 UTC
TRADESELLCounter-Strike: 1WIN vs Butterfly - Map 1 Winner$1.56Jul 30, 14:13 UTC
TRADESELLMap 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Liquid (+3.5)$3.05Jul 30, 13:30 UTC
TRADEBUYMap 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Liquid (+3.5)$2.88Jul 30, 13:23 UTC
TRADESELLCounter-Strike: 1WIN vs Butterfly - Map 1 Winner$2.55Jul 30, 13:07 UTC
TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: 1WIN vs Butterfly - Map 1 Winner$100.00Jul 30, 12:32 UTC
TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: 1WIN vs Butterfly - Map 1 Winner$1.00Jul 30, 12:29 UTC
TRADEBUYMap 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5$3.37Jul 30, 12:05 UTC
TRADESELLMap 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5$16.83Jul 30, 08:26 UTC
TRADEBUYMap 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5$1.20Jul 30, 08:19 UTC
TRADEBUYMap 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5$1.20Jul 30, 08:18 UTC
TRADEBUYMap 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5$4.80Jul 30, 08:16 UTC
TRADEBUYMap 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5$4.80Jul 30, 08:10 UTC
TRADEBUYMap 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5$6.29Jul 30, 07:52 UTC
REWARD$0.18Jul 30, 00:15 UTC
REWARD$377.96Jul 30, 00:00 UTC
REDEEMMap 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5$1.77Jul 29, 09:27 UTC
REDEEMCounter-Strike: SPARTA vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner$83.40Jul 29, 09:27 UTC
TRADESELLMap 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5$2.87Jul 29, 09:27 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

Ledger volume

$339.6K

Trades

Buy share

96%

Window

May 18, 15:40 UTC → Jul 16, 11:58 UTC

Last 30 days · daily volumemax $40.6K

BUYWimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic$40.6K@100¢Jul 10, 17:41 UTC
BUYWimbledon ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Novak Djokovic$5.7K@100¢Jul 3, 15:53 UTC
BUYMinnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers$6.0K@100¢Jun 10, 03:36 UTC
BUYLoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner$28.2K@100¢Jun 7, 09:47 UTC

Wallet edge sanity

Do not mirror

0/100

read-only

Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.

No resolved edge sample

Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.

High mirror risk

Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Blocked

0/100

no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.

Wallet signal

block

Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.

Resolved-only track record

block

Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.

Cost / slippage

missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk

missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity

missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation

missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution

missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$46.4K

2 trades

Buy share

96%

Sample

medium

20 ledger trades

Top market concentration

Cavaliers vs. Knicks

$50.3K · 15% of recorded whale volume

Recorded market concentration

Cavaliers vs. Knicks15% of recorded volume$50.3K Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic12% of recorded volume$40.6K LoL: DN SOOPers vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-212% of recorded volume$40.0K

Profile dimensions

Activity70 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence3 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry100 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk77 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 39
Avg trade size: $55.46
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Jul 28, 08:28 UTC
Last active: Jul 30, 15:08 UTC
Win rate sample: 1 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 15:31:15 UTC·src:Polymarket Data