Informal-Literature
0x996bc309b99bb1578adc30f85956634f4aa11e9c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-43.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump get 84-86m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?
120 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.60
- YES
Will New Hampshire be the closest state?
100 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Trump get 82-84m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?
100 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Florida be the tipping point state?
100 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-2.80
- YES
Will Trump get 86m or more votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpaceX Starship launch by Nov 18?$3.42Dec 1, 22:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lisa McClain be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?$0.00Dec 1, 22:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Texas move right in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election? $0.00Dec 1, 22:43 UTC
- REDEEMTrump wins 270-268 - GA, NC, PA$0.00Dec 1, 22:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Republicans have 56 or more seats in Senate after election?$0.00Dec 1, 22:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?$0.03Nov 16, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?$0.02Nov 16, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?$0.45Nov 15, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Minnesota be the closest state?$0.10Nov 15, 06:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another state be the closest state?$0.10Nov 15, 06:33 UTC
- REWARD$0.90Nov 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republicans have 55 seats in Senate after election?$0.50Nov 14, 18:13 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. Presidential election decided by ≤10k votes?$0.01Nov 14, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate David M. Friedman for Israeli Ambassador?$0.00Nov 14, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate David M. Friedman for Israeli Ambassador?$0.60Nov 14, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Biden resign in November?$1.02Nov 14, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader?$1.20Nov 14, 16:50 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX Starship launch by Nov 18?$0.78Nov 14, 16:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?$3.00Nov 14, 16:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" in his speech after the election is called?$2.76Nov 14, 16:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $8.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 14, 16:16 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 1, 22:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".