Extraneous-Slapstick
0x9973cb71963b8b9957172321cb356b45a593cc32
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
146
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.6K
Realised
$-11.36
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 146- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
25007 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-694.39
- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on February 19?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UNDER
Galatasaray SK vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on February 19?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Kuopion PS win on 2026-02-19?
8639 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NATUS VINCERE
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group B
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 18?
4605 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- JUST SWING
Counter-Strike: Legion vs Just Swing (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup 1 Playoffs
4082 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.06Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 9, 21:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 8, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$691.81Jul 7, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance vs. Morocco: Team to Advance$532.67Jul 7, 16:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Morocco: Team to Advance$162.45Jul 6, 16:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?$0.00Jul 5, 22:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?$0.00Jul 5, 22:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win on 2026-06-29?$0.00Jul 5, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Morocco: Team to Advance$160.99Jul 5, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$160.55Jul 5, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Morocco: Team to Advance$241.78Jul 5, 21:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$150.37Jul 5, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?$25.70Jul 4, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?$5.14Jul 4, 22:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morocco win on 2026-07-04?$181.97Jul 4, 19:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $86.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 23:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.