Hungry-Cormorant
0x997cda7b31612e3c394bfb55440619f3f689251e
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$22.6K
Total PnL
$-9.2K
Realised
$-6.1K
Win rate
28%
164 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
2027 shares @ 98.2¢·now 98.6¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.0K
$6.30
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?
1999 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.0K
$5.38
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?
1829 shares @ 86.4¢·now 93.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.7K
$134.98
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 29?
1297 shares @ 96.7¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.3K
$2.26
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 29?
1326 shares @ 90.4¢·now 91.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.2K
$18.16
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 29?
1199 shares @ 98.1¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.2K
$-13.75
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?
1175 shares @ 96.8¢·now 96.7¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.1K
$-2.14
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
1203 shares @ 91.8¢·now 91.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.1K
$-3.08
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in July?
1080 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.1K
$0.78
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 29?
1058 shares @ 97.0¢·now 95.6¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.0K
$-14.60
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$23.85Jul 28, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?$68.68Jul 28, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?$1.21Jul 28, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2?$49.28Jul 28, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2?$2.59Jul 28, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?$0.80Jul 28, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?$5.96Jul 28, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?$2.96Jul 28, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?$1.74Jul 28, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?$3.11Jul 28, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?$6.31Jul 28, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?$1.74Jul 28, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$3.01Jul 28, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$10.69Jul 28, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$1.31Jul 28, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$1.52Jul 28, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$2.78Jul 28, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$2.63Jul 28, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$2.68Jul 28, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$3.24Jul 28, 18:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
28% win rate over 164 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
164 closed markets, 28% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $23.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 17:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 18:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 164 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.