Admirable-Fahrenheit
0x99802e6434b615ea58455b423d2a3acb604cefd6
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-63.76
Realised
$-0.27
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by November 30?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
527 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- ISLANDERS
Islanders vs. Flyers
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 23-26?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on October 18?
313 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- MINNESOTA
Minnesota vs. Iowa
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Fed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?
87 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-43.49
- NO
Will the ECB announce no change at the October meeting?
69 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill exactly 55 U.S. senators vote "Yea" on the next funding bill by October 31?$0.00Nov 1, 09:40 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$0.00Nov 1, 09:40 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$0.00Nov 1, 09:40 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$0.00Nov 1, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELL100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?$0.20Oct 30, 22:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce an increase at the October meeting?$0.00Oct 30, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?$2.00Oct 29, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk by November 30?$2.00Oct 29, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 26?$0.00Oct 27, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,900 and $4,000 on October 26?$0.00Oct 27, 23:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $200 and $210 on October 26?$0.00Oct 27, 23:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $114,000 and $116,000 on October 26?$0.00Oct 27, 23:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Regretting You" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 9m?$0.00Oct 27, 23:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Regretting You" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 7m?$0.00Oct 27, 23:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Regretting You" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?$0.00Oct 27, 23:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Regretting You" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?$0.00Oct 27, 23:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?$0.00Oct 27, 23:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 7m?$0.00Oct 27, 23:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Taylor Swift hold less than 4 spots in the Billboard Hot 100 Top 10 for the week of November 1, 2025?$0.00Oct 27, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce an increase at the October meeting?$1.00Oct 27, 09:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 17, 21:05 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 1, 09:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".