Which-License
0x998478c701ddca88b29b65e9929545a2ac51754e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross more than $150m opening weekend?
151 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 7, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Trump sentenced to between 12 and 23 months prison time?
148 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will RFK Jr. win 6-7% of the popular vote?
139 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Massachusetts US Senate Election?
127 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Minnesota Presidential Election?
124 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
4+ Trump vs. Harris debates before election?
122 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will a Democrat win Nebraska US Senate Election?
116 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will Michelle Obama be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
114 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will another driver win the 2024 F1 season?
107 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
104 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Washington Wizards win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.15Jan 18, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?$0.10Nov 7, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another driver win the 2024 F1 season?$0.02Oct 27, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another driver win the 2024 F1 season?$0.09Oct 27, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another driver win the 2024 F1 season?$0.00Oct 27, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Maryland Presidential Election?$0.05Oct 21, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Maryland Presidential Election?$0.00Oct 21, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Maryland Presidential Election?$0.08Oct 20, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Minnesota Presidential Election?$0.12Oct 19, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump sentenced to between 12 and 23 months prison time?$0.15Oct 18, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Massachusetts US Senate Election?$0.13Oct 18, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. win 6-7% of the popular vote?$0.03Oct 14, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. win 6-7% of the popular vote?$0.01Oct 12, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. win 6-7% of the popular vote?$0.10Oct 11, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUY4+ Trump vs. Harris debates before election?$0.12Oct 11, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Nebraska US Senate Election?$0.07Oct 11, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Nebraska US Senate Election?$0.04Oct 11, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$0.11Oct 10, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sparta Prague win the UEFA Champions League?$0.13Oct 8, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.04Oct 7, 23:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $52.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 3, 23:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 18, 09:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".