Bronze-Intensity
0x998616f831c6c241bf7ba7601bd2653ad9c727ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
64
Open notional
$250.13
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$22.84
Win rate
73%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
211 shares @ 71.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$161.62
$11.62
- NO
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
309 shares @ 14.9¢·now 11.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$35.52
$-10.48
- YES
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?
1161 shares @ 4.0¢·now 2.7¢·exp May 17, 2026$31.34
$-15.36
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
419 shares @ 6.0¢·now 4.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$20.10
$-4.90
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
65 shares @ 24.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.55
$-13.95
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
8106 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-177.84
- YES
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
508 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-80.63
- NO
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?
417 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-17.36
- YES
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
408 shares @ 21.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-87.42
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$45.002h ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?$10.0012h ago
- TRADEBUYTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$1.7013h ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?$0.3614h ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$0.9014h ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?$36.0016h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$3.6019h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?$2.0019h ago
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$25.0022h ago
- TRADESELLIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?$25.771d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$150.001d ago
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$9.792d ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$191.482d ago
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$8.852d ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$56.662d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?$35.833d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$165.003d ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?$137.085d ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?$19.005d ago
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$15.506d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $50.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 13d ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".