Concrete-Incubation
0x99880c76f00183534dc126ce0faa18083254b28e
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$60.44
Total PnL
$-95.79
Realised
$5.80
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 60°F or higher on May 5?
17 shares @ 59.7¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 5, 2026$16.08
$5.81
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 5?
16 shares @ 62.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$8.81
$-1.12
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 6?
15 shares @ 63.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$8.80
$-0.76
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 5?
6 shares @ 52.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 5, 2026$6.11
$2.92
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 5?
13 shares @ 52.0¢·now 42.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$5.60
$-1.33
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 4?
5 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$5.00
$0.75
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 5?
7 shares @ 63.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$4.41
$0.14
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 5?
8 shares @ 66.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$1.96
$-3.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on May 5?
7 shares @ 54.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$1.88
$-2.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 5?
7 shares @ 22.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp May 5, 2026$1.55
$0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 5?$3.271h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C or higher on May 5?$6.102h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 4?$17.484h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 5?$1.505h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 5?$0.125h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 6?$9.747h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 5?$5.567h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C or below on May 6?$0.4710h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 5?$5.0513h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 60°F or higher on May 5?$10.4813h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 4?$26.0813h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 5?$0.1513h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 5?$7.1014h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 60°F or higher on May 5?$11.8314h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 5?$0.6716h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on May 5?$4.0017h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 4?$4.2819h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 4?$15.4219h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 4?$9.8919h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C or higher on May 5?$3.4719h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $4.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2d ago
- Last active
- 1h ago
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".