Lively-Vellum
0x998a2b9059bf23be9643a64916b9c33760ce745b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
121
Open notional
$8.82
Total PnL
$-840.79
Realised
$-2.17
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 121- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 4?
9 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$8.82
$2.82
- YES
Will Torino FC win on 2026-01-24?
500 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Qinwen Zheng win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?
405 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- RUTGERS SCARLET KNIGHTS
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Wisconsin Badgers
390 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.10
- YES
Will Madison Keys win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?
300 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- NORTH FLORIDA OSPREYS
North Florida Ospreys vs. Central Arkansas Bears
300 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.90
- FLYING ANGELS
Counter-Strike: LFO YinYang vs Flying Angels (BO1) - United21 x Esplay Challenge Group C
300 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will McCartney Kessler win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Tereza Valentová win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?
300 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.70
- YES
Will Jasmine Paolini win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?
197 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.95
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 4?$1.79Jun 4, 13:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 4?$8.13Jun 4, 11:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 4?$1.93Jun 4, 11:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 4?$5.50Jun 4, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 4?$2.09Jun 4, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 4?$5.10Jun 4, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 4?$6.10Jun 4, 06:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 3?$6.65Jun 3, 13:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 2?$7.46Jun 3, 05:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 2?$10.00Jun 3, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 3?$5.06Jun 3, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 2?$1.04Jun 2, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 1?$2.25Jun 2, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 1?$6.58Jun 2, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on June 1?$7.46Jun 2, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 2?$6.30Jun 2, 07:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 2?$9.91Jun 2, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 2?$10.08Jun 2, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 2?$5.08Jun 2, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 1?$5.06Jun 1, 17:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $6.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 11:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 13:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".