Firm-Butler
0x998f47cbe024d7e8907530da9778fcf2ce813d9a
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-111.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $5,000 on October 12?
276 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
106 shares @ 99.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-104.95
- NO
Will Trump visit Israel by October 15?
65 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
28 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
12 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.90
- NO
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$105.00Apr 14, 03:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$105.42Apr 14, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$105.22Apr 13, 02:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's latest video get between 64 and 65 million views on day 4?$105.21Apr 13, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's latest video get between 64 and 65 million views on day 4?$105.00Apr 8, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$105.01Apr 8, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$104.91Apr 3, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?$1.01Apr 3, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?$1.06Apr 3, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$1.52Apr 3, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$2.20Apr 3, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$99.10Apr 3, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$99.00Mar 31, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?$98.69Mar 31, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$1.50Mar 27, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?$98.00Mar 27, 01:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$99.83Mar 27, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$99.73Mar 23, 03:25 UTC
- REDEEMBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 23, 03:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 23, 03:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $63.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 07:41 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 14, 03:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.