Shiny-Physiology
0x9999372aae6b98447cb8fab9fe70b50519182ded
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-103.22
Realised
$97.84
Win rate
59%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on March 26?
2210 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-35.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on May 13?
2190 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-35.42
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 7?
909 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-13.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on May 1?
502 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-7.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 20?
365 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on May 4?
350 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 7?
343 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on May 15?
232 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-16.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on May 12?
226 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on May 11?
193 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.39
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 20?$0.89Jul 20, 07:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 20?$0.66Jul 20, 07:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 20?$0.39Jul 20, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 20?$0.25Jul 20, 06:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 20?$1.00Jul 20, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 20?$1.30Jul 20, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 20?$1.03Jul 20, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 20?$0.01Jul 20, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 20?$0.66Jul 20, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 20?$0.99Jul 20, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 20?$0.27Jul 20, 05:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 19?$1.98Jul 19, 06:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 19?$0.23Jul 19, 06:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 19?$0.30Jul 19, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 19?$1.60Jul 19, 06:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 19?$0.38Jul 19, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 19?$0.50Jul 19, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 19?$0.15Jul 19, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 19?$0.35Jul 19, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 19?$0.61Jul 19, 05:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
43/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
59% win rate over 22 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
22 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 02:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 07:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.