Surprised-Casement
0x99a9e399cce0dd5f491f7bf45abefa3b83bf112e
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$6.99
Total PnL
$0.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- 76ERS
Warriors vs. 76ers
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2025$3.85
$2.85
- YES
Ripple above $2.15 on January 3?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2025$2.11
$0.11
- NO
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Brentford wins the Premier League?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Rainbow airdrop in 2024?
33 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.35
- YES
PartyDAO airdrop in 2024?
30 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Elon Musk citizenship revoked before inauguration?
17 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will Biden pardon SBF?
5 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-0.35
- YES
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference?
2 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2025$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?
2 shares @ 14.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-0.30
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".