Political-Want
0x99adc43a681cb29c261765717e54715f0e45e100
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$837.12
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$-2.8K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump win any of Pennsylvania, Arizona or Georgia?
827 shares @ 88.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2021$827.12
$98.12
- DEMOCRATIC
Which party will win Arizona in the 2020 Presidential Election?
10 shares @ 76.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$10.00
$2.36
- DEMOCRATIC
Which party will win North Carolina in the 2020 presidential election?
89 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-12.91
Recent activity
- REDEEMWhich party will win Georgia in the 2020 presidential election?$9.92Nov 20, 23:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Associated Press publish a tweet calling the 2020 US presidential election before November 6?$0.00Nov 6, 18:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 6, 18:27 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 20, 23:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".