Far-Flung-Pilgrimage
0x99b137a80eff88a5346e75b0be37eaf48401e4ef
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
62
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-543.76
Realised
$41.78
Win rate
50%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
6600 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-19.80
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
2017 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-41.29
- NO
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Japan in July?
808 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-6.07
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?
625 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-24.83
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
621 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-10.29
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?
600 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-19.30
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in May?
540 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-31.30
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in March?
444 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.70
- YES
26-50 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?
440 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2024$0.00
$-39.60
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1700 in May?
430 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-16.20
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.6% by March 31?$2.00Mar 12, 22:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.5% by March 31?$0.59Mar 12, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.8% by March 31?$2.36Mar 11, 20:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.6% by March 31?$0.84Mar 11, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.6% by March 31?$0.34Mar 11, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.8% by March 31?$1.00Mar 11, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.6% by March 31?$0.30Mar 11, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$12.00Mar 11, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$6.40Mar 11, 19:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $110 in January?$11.07Mar 10, 22:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of June?$30.00Mar 10, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?$1.62Feb 6, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft dip to $360 in February?$4.80Feb 6, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of February?$4.75Feb 6, 11:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?$6.60Feb 6, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?$1.43Feb 6, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of June?$0.17Feb 2, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of June?$12.24Feb 2, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?$12.30Jan 31, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?$2.82Jan 31, 08:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $3.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 17:09 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 12, 22:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.