0x99bce72fb855cc8eebe6c85683ede46da1784f35
0x99bce72fb855cc8eebe6c85683ede46da1784f35
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$757.08
Total PnL
$-294.96
Realised
$712.65
Win rate
85%
71 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Chelsea FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers end in a draw?
137 shares @ 62.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$137.00
$51.06
- YES
Hyperbeat FDV above $25M one day after launch?
226 shares @ 37.8¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$50.84
$-34.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 28?
44 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$43.78
$27.57
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 28?
37 shares @ 39.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$36.75
$22.32
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on July 29?
43 shares @ 37.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$30.49
$14.71
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?
127 shares @ 30.7¢·now 23.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$29.82
$-9.19
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat?
279 shares @ 28.3¢·now 8.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$23.75
$-55.43
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 28?
21 shares @ 60.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$21.13
$8.32
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of July 27 2026?
50 shares @ 44.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$19.16
$-3.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on July 28?
52 shares @ 24.0¢·now 34.6¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$18.02
$5.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on July 28?$1.38Jul 28, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on July 28?$1.22Jul 28, 11:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on July 28?$12.25Jul 28, 11:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on July 28?$24.67Jul 28, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on July 28?$0.98Jul 28, 11:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-07-28?$4.72Jul 28, 11:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-07-28?$8.13Jul 28, 11:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Western Sydney Wanderers win on 2026-07-28?$6.82Jul 28, 11:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-07-28?$8.27Jul 28, 11:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on July 28?$23.50Jul 28, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on July 28?$11.54Jul 28, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on July 28?$0.74Jul 28, 11:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-07-28?$4.78Jul 28, 11:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 28?$1.90Jul 28, 11:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on July 28?$0.02Jul 28, 11:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on July 28?$7.44Jul 28, 11:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Western Sydney Wanderers win on 2026-07-28?$10.10Jul 28, 11:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on July 28?$4.94Jul 28, 11:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on July 28?$12.40Jul 28, 11:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Western Sydney Wanderers win on 2026-07-28?$17.77Jul 28, 11:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
77/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
85% win rate over 71 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
71 closed markets, 85% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $7.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 11:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 11:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 71 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.