Nervous-Pilaf
0x99cd2f50772094c797479113f86bcec07e3ea298
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-947.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 4?
1446 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-925.44
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 8?
22 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 24?
21 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 24, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 11?
18 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-8.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 4?$925.44Mar 4, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 11?$8.40Jan 11, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on November 8?$1.00Nov 8, 02:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Oct 22, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$4.01Oct 21, 05:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?$498.59Oct 21, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?$499.10Oct 21, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$4.51Oct 21, 02:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$4.01Oct 21, 01:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$497.09Oct 21, 01:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Oct 21, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$4.51Oct 20, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$498.10Oct 20, 02:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?$3.03Oct 20, 02:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?$497.79Oct 20, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?$3.53Oct 19, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?$498.30Oct 19, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on September 24?$13.00Sep 24, 06:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?$5.00Jul 27, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Diego Padres win the 2025 World Series?$398.59Jul 27, 08:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $219.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 06:16 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 4, 02:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".