Ambitious-Countryside
0x99d170ef9395e0f6ffdf9315622dc4677d21d9ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$11.67
Total PnL
$-2.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
3 shares @ 88.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?
3 shares @ 97.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$3.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Alibaba have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?
3 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 88.0¢·now 86.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.43
$-0.06
- NO
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
3 shares @ 94.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?$2.49Nov 12, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?$3.00Nov 12, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$3.00Nov 12, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?$3.00Nov 12, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?$3.00Nov 12, 04:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Venezuela invade Guyana in 2025?$1.99Nov 12, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMTrump executive action ending payments to Colombia by Friday?$3.01Nov 12, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Edmundo González return to Venezuela by October 31?$3.03Nov 12, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces in Venezuela by October 31?$3.06Nov 12, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump strike a drug boat on October 25?$3.26Nov 12, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Venezuela invade Guyana in 2025?$2.00Oct 25, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces in Venezuela by October 31?$3.00Oct 25, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Edmundo González return to Venezuela by October 31?$3.00Oct 25, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump executive action ending payments to Colombia by Friday?$3.00Oct 25, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump strike a drug boat on October 25?$3.00Oct 25, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July?$1.43Oct 25, 12:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July?$2.02Oct 25, 12:12 UTC
- REDEEMElon Musk's security clearance revoked before July?$2.05Oct 25, 12:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump give Elon Musk a nickname before July?$2.11Oct 25, 12:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump apologize to Elon before July?$2.11Oct 25, 12:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 00:59 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 12, 04:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".