Constant-Debris
0x99d4335bd4fdbc45856fe16b7e97ef7cbe386709
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.4K
Realised
$762.16
Win rate
65%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 8?
6103 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?
5821 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-71.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 9PM ET
4970 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-581.68
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
2712 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-226.13
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 11PM ET
2675 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-329.48
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
2519 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-267.75
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 9?
1869 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-301.37
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
1579 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-135.57
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 7PM ET
1194 shares @ 23.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-280.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
1027 shares @ 17.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-175.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 12AM ET$59.59Jan 10, 05:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?$21.39Jan 10, 05:30 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$30.00Jan 10, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$25.08Jan 10, 05:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?$33.27Jan 10, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$50.25Jan 10, 05:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$50.26Jan 10, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$61.01Jan 10, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$40.00Jan 10, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 12AM ET$100.00Jan 10, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$20.00Jan 10, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$224.09Jan 10, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$236.13Jan 10, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$20.00Jan 10, 04:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$95.78Jan 10, 04:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$144.07Jan 10, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 11PM ET$20.00Jan 10, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 11PM ET$20.00Jan 10, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$56.28Jan 10, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 11PM ET$58.31Jan 10, 04:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $65.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 23:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 10, 05:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".