Helpful-Discovery
0x99d505cfa8d61f43170c5073c88181fcf2113492
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$62.00
Total PnL
$0.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?$61.94Jul 3, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?$58.00Jul 3, 02:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?$75.00Jul 3, 02:29 UTC
- REDEEMNetanyahu out by June 30?$80.00Jul 3, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$79.76Jun 25, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?$74.93Jun 20, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?$57.88Jun 19, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of May 4 2026?$38.58Jun 19, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of May 4 2026?$38.54May 8, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$100.00May 8, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$99.90Apr 30, 05:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast hit 500 Million subscribers by March 31?$53.20Apr 13, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMAnother Houthi strike on Israel by September 15?$0.00Apr 13, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 500 Million subscribers by March 31?$53.09Mar 18, 03:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$47.20Mar 5, 16:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Palantir reach $219 in February?$102.40Mar 5, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir reach $219 in February?$61.88Feb 26, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir reach $219 in February?$5.49Feb 25, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir reach $219 in February?$34.83Feb 25, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?$66.88Feb 16, 14:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $46.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 13:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 02:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.