Organic-Octagon
0x99dfc271bc6883f4732e0eb84f059a7d22d67331
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$69.90
Total PnL
$-106.36
Realised
$-7.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
11 shares @ 91.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$10.94
$0.94
- NO
Solana all time high before 2026?
10 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.08
$0.08
- YES
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
6 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.49
$1.49
- NO
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?
6 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.41
$1.41
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
5 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$5.07
$0.08
- NO
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
5 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.05
$0.06
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.05
$0.05
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 26?
5 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$5.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
5 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$5.02
$0.03
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 2AM ET
5 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$5.02
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCapitals vs. Kraken$5.00Jan 28, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?$5.00Jan 28, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$4.99Jan 20, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 2AM ET$4.99Jan 20, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYRams vs. Bears$5.00Jan 18, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$5.00Dec 26, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture any territory in Lyman by December 15?$5.02Dec 26, 04:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$1.49Dec 26, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 26?$5.00Dec 26, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?$4.99Dec 26, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $5.00Dec 20, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$5.00Dec 19, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$5.00Dec 19, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.80 on December 17?$5.05Dec 18, 05:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 17?$5.08Dec 18, 03:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro again by December 15?$5.03Dec 17, 03:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$5.05Dec 17, 03:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 16?$5.06Dec 17, 03:55 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Steelers (-3.5)$4.00Dec 17, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 17?$4.99Dec 17, 03:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $4.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 12, 02:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 28, 07:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".