Cautious-Turban
0x99f59e08ab7fb63c8143e44c90b213fa6a4786e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$99.40
Total PnL
$47.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score$17.90Jul 2, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$45.94Jun 24, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-25?$34.71Jun 24, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Marcus McGhee vs. John Yannis (Bantamweight, Prelims)$23.19Jun 24, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$46.01Jun 24, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$44.95Jun 5, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Marcus McGhee vs. John Yannis (Bantamweight, Prelims)$18.66Jun 5, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$45.00Jun 5, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$13.03Jun 5, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $10 in April?$17.02Jun 5, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?$62.99Jun 5, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?$27.53May 14, 07:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?$28.80Apr 20, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$6.00Apr 20, 11:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.17Apr 20, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $10 in April?$17.00Apr 20, 11:16 UTC
- SPLITWill Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?$10.00Apr 20, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$7.00Apr 20, 11:16 UTC
- SPLITWill Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?$19.00Apr 20, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 19?$10.01Mar 27, 07:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $22.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 23, 07:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 06:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.